Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central prediction
RC2026-10-31 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-10-31T00:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Rosario Central (A) at 51.1%. The double-chance call is X2 at 79.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:19+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 51.1%
LowX2 · 79.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:19+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 51.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 24.8% | 34.8% | 40.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 20.9% | 28.0% | 51.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.9% | 29.5% | 39.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sarmiento Junin
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Rosario Central
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-20 · Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin
2025-10-24 · Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central
2025-02-23 · Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin
2024-07-20 · Rosario Central 4–2 Sarmiento Junin
2023-03-03 · Sarmiento Junin 4–1 Rosario Central
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3408b9d19c2d972a79d9dd482739cb1227a8ddab38d53b658f72139ab8428ded
Model: existing-source-policy-v1