Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
F2026-11-02 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-02T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Fiorentina (A) at 41.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:38+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–4
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 41.0%
Low12 · 74.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:38+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 41.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.9% | 39.5% | 29.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 33.3% | 25.6% | 41.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 29.0% | 23.9% | 47.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-29. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sassuolo
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Fiorentina
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-26 · Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo
2025-12-06 · Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina
2024-04-28 · Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo
2024-01-06 · Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina
2023-06-02 · Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-29
Data fingerprint: 6de666200529da72f8583f25ddb8f8f017dafcddc3c40b5b071f4efbe92076cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1