Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction
L2026-10-27 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-27T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Lazio (A) at 46.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–6
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 46.2%
Low12 · 73.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:50+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 9%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 23.8% | 33.8% | 42.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 27.7% | 26.1% | 46.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 24.0% | 24.4% | 51.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sassuolo
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Lazio
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-09 · Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo
2025-09-14 · Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio
2024-05-26 · Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo
2023-10-21 · Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio
2023-05-03 · Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 1af511e7fdc222dc0a4da2c24c6e463faf15424407e49465e4b6ef350e1a4b6d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1