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Sassuolo vs Milan prediction

2026-10-11 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sassuolo vs Milan match analysis

What is the Sassuolo vs Milan prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Milan (A) at 53.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 78.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 53.6%

Low
1 21.6%X 24.8%2 53.6%
Double chance

X2 · 78.4%

Low
1X 46.4%X2 78.4%12 75.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:34+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 53.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings23.9%33.9%42.2%
Market · margin removed21.6%24.8%53.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson22.1%21.7%56.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sassuolo

LWDWL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-18Monza (A)1–2
2026-09-13Juventus (H)3–2
2026-09-06Bologna (A)2–2
2026-08-29Torino (H)2–1
2026-08-23Atalanta (A)1–2

Milan

WWDDW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-20Lecce (H)3–0
2026-09-12Lazio (A)2–2
2026-09-06Juventus (A)1–1
2026-08-28Venezia (H)2–0
2026-08-23Torino (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-05-03 · Sassuolo 2–0 Milan

2025-12-14 · Milan 2–2 Sassuolo

2024-04-14 · Sassuolo 3–3 Milan

2023-12-30 · Milan 1–0 Sassuolo

2023-01-29 · Milan 2–5 Sassuolo

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:34+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 17e0096fedb5f4f347b9280a994a03745dd0e375637af9aded8054f196e8c8c6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →