Servette vs Zurich prediction
Z2026-11-08 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-11-08T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Servette vs Zurich prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Servette (H) at 52.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:40+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 52.2%
Low1X · 76.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:40+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-08T14:25:34+00:00. 4.4 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T14:38:07+00:00.
1 · 46.3%
✕ Wrong12 · 74.6%
✕ WrongPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Servette | 52.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 24.6% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Zurich | 23.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Servette
Draw
Zurich
All event markets · 3
Will Servette Geneva win on 2026-11-08?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.18K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6559079Fetched 2026-11-11T15:12:34+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T17:22:29.318652Z
Will Servette Geneva vs. FC Zurich end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $2.67K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6559080Fetched 2026-11-11T15:12:34+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T17:18:27.970361Z
Will FC Zurich win on 2026-11-08?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $7.78K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6559081Fetched 2026-11-11T15:12:34+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T17:36:29.169166Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-08T15:29:51+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 43.0% | 33.5% | 23.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 52.2% | 24.6% | 23.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.4% | 24.4% | 30.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Servette
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Zurich
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-01 · Zurich 2–1 Servette
2026-05-16 · Zurich 0–2 Servette
2026-03-07 · Servette 2–1 Zurich
2026-01-18 · Servette 1–1 Zurich
2025-09-13 · Zurich 2–1 Servette
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: d278d0d2ef98223ad1deb29792e322defc6314a7f0edffb38ef983f9a729b815
Model: existing-source-policy-v1