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Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda prediction

2026-10-08 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-08T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda match analysis

What is the Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Shamrock Rovers (H) at 67.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 88.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-06T08:49:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 67.5%

Medium
1 67.5%X 20.9%2 11.7%
Double chance

1X · 88.3%

Medium
1X 88.3%X2 32.5%12 79.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-06T08:49:03+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 67.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings51.4%29.3%19.3%
Market · margin removed67.5%20.9%11.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson68.4%19.7%11.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Shamrock Rovers

WDDLW

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-18Waterford (H)3–2
2026-09-11St. Patricks (A)0–2
2026-09-04Shelbourne (H)0–0
2026-08-30Derry City (A)3–3
2026-08-07Dundalk (H)3–2

Drogheda

LLWWL

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-18Bohemians (A)1–2
2026-09-14Shelbourne (A)2–1
2026-09-11Sligo Rovers (H)2–0
2026-08-28Dundalk (H)2–3
2026-08-21St. Patricks (H)0–2

Head to head

2026-07-31 · Drogheda 0–0 Shamrock Rovers

2026-05-04 · Shamrock Rovers 4–1 Drogheda

2026-03-16 · Drogheda 0–0 Shamrock Rovers

2025-08-31 · Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Drogheda

2025-06-16 · Drogheda 1–2 Shamrock Rovers

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-06T08:49:03+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-25
Data fingerprint: 1a00ec4283b0593a194498606b0e8b58374688a05f00094b920c2fac517ccd1f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →