Shanghai Port vs Liaoning Tieren prediction
LT2026-11-08 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-11-08T07:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Shanghai Port vs Liaoning Tieren prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shanghai Port (H) at 75.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 90.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 6–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 75.7%
Medium1X · 90.2%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:06+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 75.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 57.3% | 26.4% | 16.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 75.7% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 76.2% | 14.1% | 9.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-24. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Shanghai Port
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Liaoning Tieren
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-29 · Liaoning Tieren 3–2 Shanghai Port
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-24
Data fingerprint: 9f2b6c94b568d15ee625a75e92d40b33a85a001c26076f46a2fb18503eb4543c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1