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Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun prediction

2026-10-10 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-10T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun match analysis

What is the Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Shanghai Shenhua (H) at 49.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-03T11:40:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 7–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 49.5%

Low
1 49.5%X 22.2%2 28.2%
Double chance

12 · 77.8%

Low
1X 71.8%X2 50.5%12 77.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-03T11:40:32+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 49.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings46.4%31.8%21.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson52.1%20.9%27.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Shanghai Shenhua

WLWLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-06Chongqing Tonglianglong (A)3–1
2026-08-28Shandong Taishan (H)2–3
2026-08-22Chengdu Rongcheng (A)5–4
2026-08-18Beijing Guoan (H)0–3
2026-08-15Henan Songshan Longmen (H)4–1

Yunnan Yukun

WWDLW

Scored / game: 2.50
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-06Liaoning Tieren (H)5–0
2026-08-29Zhejiang Professional (A)0–6
2026-08-22Beijing Guoan (A)3–3
2026-08-15Dalian Yingbo (H)3–1
2026-08-08Chengdu Rongcheng (H)1–0

Head to head

2026-05-16 · Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua

2025-08-02 · Yunnan Yukun 4–4 Shanghai Shenhua

2025-04-02 · Shanghai Shenhua 3–1 Yunnan Yukun

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-03T11:40:32+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →