Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Sheffield United vs Derby prediction

2026-10-24 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sheffield United vs Derby match analysis

What is the Sheffield United vs Derby prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sheffield United (H) at 52.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:41+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.8%

Low
1 52.8%X 25.2%2 22.0%
Double chance

1X · 78.0%

Low
1X 78.0%X2 47.2%12 74.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:41+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.9%34.1%24.1%
Market · margin removed52.8%25.2%22.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson54.2%24.9%20.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sheffield United

LLWLW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17Bristol City (A)1–0
2026-10-14Portsmouth (A)2–3
2026-10-10Lincoln (H)3–0
2026-09-19Stoke (A)1–2
2026-09-13Wolves (H)0–1

Derby

LDDLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-17Stoke (H)0–1
2026-10-14QPR (A)1–4
2026-10-10Wrexham (H)1–1
2026-09-19Burnley (A)1–1
2026-09-12Birmingham (H)1–2

Head to head

2026-05-02 · Derby 1–2 Sheffield United

2025-11-01 · Sheffield United 1–3 Derby

2025-02-01 · Derby 0–1 Sheffield United

2024-09-21 · Sheffield United 1–0 Derby

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:41+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 1d505d95d03009a9a3e0f2a0763a2b078dcb878c0c0c5b83ba5cdf16f6270595
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →