Sheffield Weds vs AFC Wimbledon prediction
AW2026-10-17 · E2 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sheffield Weds vs AFC Wimbledon prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Sheffield Weds (H) at 57.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 57.4%
Medium1X · 80.5%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:42+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 53.0% | 28.5% | 18.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 57.4% | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 70.6% | 19.0% | 10.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sheffield Weds
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
AFC Wimbledon
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: e72c88e113a5cf0d52b198dd2db820e349bab74480bb0ee9bfd2ad3bcb357703
Model: existing-source-policy-v1