Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers prediction
SR2026-10-09 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shelbourne (H) at 71.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 90.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 71.3%
Low1X · 90.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:54+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 71.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 30%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.1% | 30.4% | 20.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 71.3% | 19.4% | 9.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.3% | 29.2% | 29.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Shelbourne
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Sligo Rovers
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-06-27 · Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne
2026-05-08 · Shelbourne 0–0 Sligo Rovers
2026-03-21 · Sligo Rovers 0–1 Shelbourne
2025-10-17 · Shelbourne 3–1 Sligo Rovers
2025-08-02 · Sligo Rovers 0–2 Shelbourne
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-02
Data fingerprint: 57566432f9a907ebf246aebabd9bf8154608b698ebe73bcfc7f6effaca4039e3
Model: existing-source-policy-v1