Shelbourne vs Waterford prediction
W2026-10-30 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-30T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Shelbourne vs Waterford prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shelbourne (H) at 49.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 49.0%
Low12 · 76.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:47+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 49.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 44.0% | 33.0% | 23.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 49.0% | 23.3% | 27.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.0% | 26.7% | 27.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-23. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Shelbourne
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Waterford
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-02 · Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne
2026-05-22 · Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford
2026-02-06 · Waterford 1–1 Shelbourne
2025-09-26 · Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford
2025-06-23 · Waterford 2–2 Shelbourne
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-23
Data fingerprint: fdb30c292f048796493dd283ce3068f6723b5d25374e1092da8eea3d63622a17
Model: existing-source-policy-v1