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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen prediction

2026-10-09 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-09T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen match analysis

What is the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Henan Songshan Longmen (A) at 41.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 41.8%

Low
1 32.9%X 25.3%2 41.8%
Double chance

12 · 74.7%

Low
1X 58.2%X2 67.1%12 74.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 41.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings28.5%38.5%33.1%
Market · margin removed32.9%25.3%41.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson35.5%27.1%37.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

LWDLD

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-05Shandong Taishan (A)1–1
2026-08-28Shanghai Port (H)0–1
2026-08-22Zhejiang Professional (H)1–1
2026-08-15Liaoning Tieren (A)2–1
2026-08-07Beijing Guoan (A)0–4

Henan Songshan Longmen

LDDDD

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-12Wuhan Three Towns (A)1–1
2026-09-06Chengdu Rongcheng (H)0–0
2026-08-29Chongqing Tonglianglong (H)1–1
2026-08-23Liaoning Tieren (A)4–4
2026-08-15Shanghai Shenhua (A)1–4

Head to head

2026-05-15 · Henan Songshan Longmen 1–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

2025-08-08 · Henan Songshan Longmen 4–1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

2025-04-05 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1–3 Henan Songshan Longmen

2024-07-13 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 0–0 Henan Songshan Longmen

2024-04-05 · Henan Songshan Longmen 0–2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →