Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua prediction
SS2026-10-24 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-24T07:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shanghai Shenhua (A) at 45.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-17T07:32:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 45.8%
Low12 · 74.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-17T07:32:05+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 45.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 21.7% | 31.7% | 46.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 28.1% | 24.2% | 47.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Shanghai Shenhua
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-24 · Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2025-10-31 · Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2025-06-14 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3–1 Shanghai Shenhua
2024-10-27 · Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2024-05-26 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 0–1 Shanghai Shenhua
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: d44094913d52ca75d489365f458f6705b314be8623ee396046ea05c5d78b004e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1