Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction
G2026-10-31 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shrewsbury (H) at 49.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 49.1%
Low1X · 75.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 49.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.2% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 49.1% | 26.7% | 24.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 34.5% | 30.4% | 35.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Shrewsbury
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Gillingham
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-02 · Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury
2025-11-29 · Shrewsbury 3–3 Gillingham
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3007011e1b3993a870e65f5ebff3c16dc74dd9e098655c8a49ebb7f4e4bf9b07
Model: existing-source-policy-v1