Sirius vs AIK prediction
A2026-10-24 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-24T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sirius vs AIK prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Sirius (H) at 62.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 62.8%
Low1X · 82.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:25+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 62.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 32%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.9% | 33.6% | 23.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 62.8% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 31.2% | 24.9% | 43.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sirius
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
AIK
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-30 · AIK 0–3 Sirius
2025-08-31 · AIK 2–1 Sirius
2025-06-01 · Sirius 3–1 AIK
2024-09-25 · Sirius 0–1 AIK
2024-05-11 · AIK 1–3 Sirius
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 874510f4b76429d9f94681f1650ba04f79094badafee08a8cd3f8029b5acd49d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1