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Sirius vs Elfsborg prediction

2026-10-18 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sirius vs Elfsborg match analysis

What is the Sirius vs Elfsborg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sirius (H) at 48.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 48.0%

Low
1 48.0%X 25.2%2 26.8%
Double chance

12 · 74.8%

Low
1X 73.2%X2 52.0%12 74.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.7%34.1%24.1%
Market · margin removed48.0%25.2%26.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson35.7%23.3%41.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sirius

LWWWW

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10GAIS (A)1–0
2026-09-19Orgryte (A)2–1
2026-09-14Degerfors (H)2–0
2026-09-05Vasteras SK (A)1–0
2026-08-31Malmo FF (H)0–1

Elfsborg

WLWWW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-12Halmstad (H)4–0
2026-09-20Djurgarden (A)2–1
2026-09-13Kalmar (H)1–0
2026-09-06Brommapojkarna (A)1–2
2026-08-29Degerfors (H)2–0

Head to head

2026-07-19 · Elfsborg 1–3 Sirius

2025-10-26 · Sirius 4–0 Elfsborg

2025-04-23 · Elfsborg 4–3 Sirius

2024-10-06 · Sirius 4–1 Elfsborg

2024-04-29 · Elfsborg 2–0 Sirius

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 4a6b492dd592852a0812b5053c2a1fd3d83b7ef3d86643d28d3b743a21670220
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →