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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City prediction

2026-10-30 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-30T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sligo Rovers vs Derry City match analysis

What is the Sligo Rovers vs Derry City prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Derry City (A) at 61.5%. The double-chance call is X2 at 81.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 61.5%

Low
1 18.2%X 20.2%2 61.5%
Double chance

X2 · 81.8%

Low
1X 38.5%X2 81.8%12 79.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:47+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 61.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings23.5%33.5%43.0%
Market · margin removed18.2%20.2%61.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson35.2%28.1%36.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-23. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sligo Rovers

LLLDL

Scored / game: 0.40
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-23Shamrock Rovers (A)0–4
2026-10-17Dundalk (H)1–1
2026-10-09Shelbourne (A)1–5
2026-09-19St. Patricks (H)0–1
2026-09-14Galway (H)1–3

Derry City

DWLWW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-23Dundalk (H)2–1
2026-10-19St. Patricks (H)1–0
2026-10-16Drogheda (A)0–2
2026-09-18Galway (H)1–0
2026-09-14Waterford (A)2–2

Head to head

2026-08-07 · Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers

2026-04-06 · Sligo Rovers 0–0 Derry City

2026-02-06 · Derry City 2–1 Sligo Rovers

2025-10-05 · Derry City 1–0 Sligo Rovers

2025-07-12 · Sligo Rovers 2–0 Derry City

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-30T08:44:47+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-23
Data fingerprint: fdb30c292f048796493dd283ce3068f6723b5d25374e1092da8eea3d63622a17
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →