Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks prediction
SP2026-09-19 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-09-19T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: St. Patricks (A) at 70.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 91.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:11:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 70.6%
LowX2 · 91.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:11:30+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 70.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 32%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.8% | 32.8% | 44.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 8.9% | 20.5% | 70.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 32.7% | 28.2% | 39.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: b24f6885ff0e6b49aef93a22bf8cc2cb8c1d24a38b34bfc08ba7a1c014f8754f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1