Sociedad B vs Mallorca prediction
M2026-09-19 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sociedad B vs Mallorca prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Mallorca (A) at 50.5%. The double-chance call is X2 at 77.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:19:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 50.5%
LowX2 · 77.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:19:25+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 50.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 33.1% | 38.5% | 28.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 23.0% | 26.5% | 50.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 25.0% | 29.4% | 45.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: 003d6379122d99bc3d6ef2e5e062e879fa12edb151e4a97ccddaaea15aabf9ae
Model: existing-source-policy-v1