Sociedad B vs Sp Gijon prediction
SG2026-11-14 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sociedad B vs Sp Gijon prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Sociedad B (H) at 39.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:42:10+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.0%
Low12 · 71.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:42:10+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 28.5% | 38.5% | 33.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.0% | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 40.1% | 26.1% | 33.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-09. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sociedad B
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Sp Gijon
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-06 · Sp Gijon 1–0 Sociedad B
2025-12-06 · Sociedad B 0–1 Sp Gijon
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-09
Data fingerprint: c05c9ea306ce823d189dcbd77655e675a008434e9b12bc38dc1d581b1634b7df
Model: existing-source-policy-v1