Solihull vs Carlisle prediction
C2026-10-24 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Solihull vs Carlisle prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Carlisle (A) at 60.0%. The double-chance call is X2 at 81.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 60.0%
MediumX2 · 81.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 60.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 23.6% | 33.6% | 42.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 19.0% | 20.9% | 60.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.6% | 23.3% | 46.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Solihull
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 2.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Carlisle
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-17 · Solihull 3–3 Carlisle
2025-08-19 · Carlisle 1–1 Solihull
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 3dcabb650da7ac0bde932615aa61af817457a2eb8e42770743363156d382045d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1