Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Southend vs Aldershot prediction

2026-11-14 · EC · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Southend vs Aldershot match analysis

What is the Southend vs Aldershot prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Southend (H) at 68.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 86.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 68.4%

Medium
1 68.4%X 18.3%2 13.4%
Double chance

1X · 86.6%

Medium
1X 86.6%X2 31.6%12 81.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 68.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings51.9%29.1%19.1%
Market · margin removed68.4%18.3%13.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson61.6%20.8%17.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Southend

WWDDL

Scored / game: 2.60
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-31Wealdstone (A)2–3
2026-10-27Worthing (A)3–3
2026-10-24Halifax (H)2–2
2026-10-10Boston Utd (A)2–1
2026-10-03Fylde (H)3–1

Aldershot

LLLLW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Gateshead (H)1–0
2026-10-28Sutton (A)0–2
2026-10-24Wealdstone (H)0–1
2026-10-10Altrincham (A)1–3
2026-10-03Carlisle (H)1–3

Head to head

2026-04-14 · Aldershot 0–2 Southend

2025-10-04 · Southend 3–0 Aldershot

2025-02-18 · Southend 2–1 Aldershot

2024-10-23 · Aldershot 0–0 Southend

2024-02-24 · Southend 4–1 Aldershot

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: fe15e8c87d4b4d9be539792528869649615459fd9b8e2630df21ebc7bfd69a77
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →