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Sp Gijon vs Albacete prediction

2026-10-17 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sp Gijon vs Albacete match analysis

What is the Sp Gijon vs Albacete prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sp Gijon (H) at 49.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 49.7%

Low
1 49.7%X 26.4%2 23.8%
Double chance

1X · 76.2%

Low
1X 76.2%X2 50.3%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 49.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings42.6%33.7%23.7%
Market · margin removed49.7%26.4%23.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson49.3%25.0%25.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sp Gijon

LWLWW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-11Cadiz (A)1–0
2026-10-04Celta B (H)3–2
2026-09-27Oviedo (A)0–2
2026-09-19Andorra (A)3–1
2026-09-13Eldense (H)0–1

Albacete

DLLLL

Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-12Valladolid (A)0–5
2026-10-03Eibar (H)1–3
2026-09-25Girona (A)0–2
2026-09-18Cordoba (H)1–2
2026-09-12Granada (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-02-15 · Albacete 1–1 Sp Gijon

2025-09-28 · Sp Gijon 3–4 Albacete

2025-03-23 · Sp Gijon 0–2 Albacete

2024-10-27 · Albacete 3–3 Sp Gijon

2024-03-01 · Sp Gijon 2–1 Albacete

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 9034ef1242875df1a9dd5233ed3fda562162fbe205aea5643b7a6a9d8ad1c531
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →