Sp Gijon vs Valladolid prediction
V2026-11-08 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sp Gijon vs Valladolid prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Sp Gijon (H) at 40.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.0%
Low12 · 71.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 43.0% | 33.5% | 23.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.0% | 29.0% | 31.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.9% | 27.0% | 27.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sp Gijon
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Valladolid
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-22 · Sp Gijon 2–2 Valladolid
2025-10-19 · Valladolid 2–3 Sp Gijon
2024-02-17 · Sp Gijon 1–1 Valladolid
2023-08-11 · Valladolid 2–0 Sp Gijon
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: ff85fb71cc858931fb760706bbcebe97213b210217b01940ecd3a7df868d4bf2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1