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Spartans vs Stranraer prediction

2026-10-17 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Spartans vs Stranraer match analysis

What is the Spartans vs Stranraer prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Spartans (H) at 44.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:14+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 44.6%

Low
1 44.6%X 24.9%2 30.5%
Double chance

12 · 75.1%

Low
1X 69.5%X2 55.4%12 75.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:14+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings38.9%35.5%25.5%
Market · margin removed44.6%24.9%30.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson52.6%24.9%22.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Spartans

WWLLW

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Edinburgh City (A)3–1
2026-10-03Kelty Hearts (H)0–2
2026-09-19Dumbarton (A)0–3
2026-09-12Forfar (H)5–1
2026-09-05Stirling (A)2–0

Stranraer

WWWDW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Annan Athletic (A)6–1
2026-10-03Edinburgh City (H)0–0
2026-09-19Elgin (A)5–1
2026-09-12Dumbarton (H)3–1
2026-09-05Forfar (A)3–0

Head to head

2026-08-15 · Stranraer 1–0 Spartans

2026-04-11 · Spartans 1–2 Stranraer

2026-02-21 · Stranraer 2–1 Spartans

2025-11-22 · Spartans 0–4 Stranraer

2025-09-13 · Stranraer 0–2 Spartans

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:14+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 516de210734db3893b417c947f9fd551d1b504e5342587706835dae107557b11
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →