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St Etienne vs Nantes prediction

2026-10-24 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the St Etienne vs Nantes match analysis

What is the St Etienne vs Nantes prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: St Etienne (H) at 55.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 55.7%

Low
1 55.7%X 23.9%2 20.3%
Double chance

1X · 79.7%

Low
1X 79.7%X2 44.3%12 76.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:56+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings49.9%30.1%20.1%
Market · margin removed55.7%23.9%20.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson68.7%17.5%13.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

St Etienne

WLDWW

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-17Red Star (A)1–0
2026-10-10Rodez (H)2–0
2026-09-19Metz (A)2–2
2026-09-12Dunkerque (A)1–2
2026-09-05Montpellier (H)3–1

Nantes

WLWDL

Scored / game: 1.22
Conceded / game: 1.78
Clean sheets: 2 / 9

2026-10-17Dunkerque (H)2–3
2026-10-10Reims (H)0–0
2026-09-19Boulogne (A)2–1
2026-09-12Sochaux (A)0–1
2026-09-07Nancy (H)1–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:56+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: dab292235240c33d2d6c74ba329a2c8ad29e83094ad239c6b60e685fc1f7ce84
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →