St. Gallen vs Lausanne prediction
L2026-10-11 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-10-11T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the St. Gallen vs Lausanne prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: St. Gallen (H) at 62.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:16+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 62.0%
Medium1X · 85.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:16+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 62.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 51.5% | 29.2% | 19.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 62.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.2% | 22.6% | 23.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
St. Gallen
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Lausanne
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-08 · Lausanne 1–1 St. Gallen
2025-11-23 · St. Gallen 1–0 Lausanne
2025-08-31 · Lausanne 1–2 St. Gallen
2025-03-15 · St. Gallen 0–2 Lausanne
2025-01-26 · St. Gallen 3–2 Lausanne
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: fbee137fcf65442199a30faef41701e377d692303b4c52163aa29d568d82f558
Model: existing-source-policy-v1