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St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction

2026-10-25 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T18:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge match analysis

What is the St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: St. Gilloise (H) at 72.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 5–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 72.9%

Medium
1 72.9%X 16.9%2 10.1%
Double chance

1X · 89.9%

Medium
1X 89.9%X2 27.1%12 83.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:34+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 72.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings60.9%24.5%14.5%
Market · margin removed72.9%16.9%10.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson70.2%18.4%11.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

St. Gilloise

WWWWD

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-11Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)1–1
2026-09-20Antwerp (A)2–0
2026-09-12Lommel SK (H)5–0
2026-09-05Charleroi (A)3–2
2026-09-02St Truiden (A)3–0

Cercle Brugge

LLDLL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-10Anderlecht (H)1–2
2026-09-19Charleroi (A)2–3
2026-09-12Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)1–1
2026-09-06Gent (H)0–3
2026-08-29Lommel SK (H)0–1

Head to head

2025-12-26 · Cercle Brugge 1–1 St. Gilloise

2025-11-22 · St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge

2024-12-08 · Cercle Brugge 0–0 St. Gilloise

2024-10-27 · St. Gilloise 1–3 Cercle Brugge

2024-05-19 · Cercle Brugge 1–2 St. Gilloise

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:34+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 8b69155ac28b84c526a0abad44da5403f54f5209b34057b936bc14a5e524fecb
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →