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St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction

2026-11-08 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the St. Gilloise vs Genk match analysis

What is the St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: St. Gilloise (H) at 59.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.6%

Medium
1 59.6%X 22.5%2 17.9%
Double chance

1X · 82.1%

Medium
1X 82.1%X2 40.4%12 77.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:34+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings52.8%28.6%18.6%
Market · margin removed59.6%22.5%17.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson57.0%23.2%19.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

St. Gilloise

WWDWW

Scored / game: 2.90
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-31Beveren (A)2–1
2026-10-25Cercle Brugge (H)5–2
2026-10-11Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)1–1
2026-09-20Antwerp (A)2–0
2026-09-12Lommel SK (H)5–0

Genk

DLWWL

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31Mechelen (A)0–1
2026-10-25Standard (H)2–1
2026-10-10Kortrijk (H)3–0
2026-09-20Club Brugge (A)0–3
2026-09-13Gent (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-03-07 · St. Gilloise 2–1 Genk

2025-09-21 · Genk 1–2 St. Gilloise

2025-05-03 · St. Gilloise 1–0 Genk

2025-04-20 · Genk 1–2 St. Gilloise

2025-03-15 · Genk 2–1 St. Gilloise

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:34+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 2caff8dcbc6d2927662c44498308f3731778c3fcb99b5d8529bed3d9c9d5f44c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →