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St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven prediction

2026-10-11 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven match analysis

What is the St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: St. Gilloise (H) at 76.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 91.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:10+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 76.8%

Medium
1 76.8%X 14.9%2 8.3%
Double chance

1X · 91.7%

Medium
1X 91.7%X2 23.2%12 85.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:10+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 76.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 15%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings62.2%23.9%13.9%
Market · margin removed76.8%14.9%8.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson72.7%17.7%9.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Scored / game: 2.60
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-09-20Antwerp (A)2–0
2026-09-12Lommel SK (H)5–0
2026-09-05Charleroi (A)3–2
2026-09-02St Truiden (A)3–0
2026-08-30Anderlecht (H)3–0

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

LLLDW

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-19RAAL La Louviere (H)2–0
2026-09-12Cercle Brugge (H)1–1
2026-09-06Beveren (A)0–3
2026-09-03Gent (A)0–1
2026-08-29Standard (H)1–2

Head to head

2026-01-24 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–0 St. Gilloise

2025-08-03 · St. Gilloise 5–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven

2025-01-19 · St. Gilloise 1–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven

2024-11-24 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 St. Gilloise

2024-03-02 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–2 St. Gilloise

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:10+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 71828e4082c090048e5dceb6f790b6f4045b36dd6bd9c3fe2989af09d8cea40e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →