St Truiden vs Waregem prediction
W2026-11-08 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T18:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the St Truiden vs Waregem prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: St Truiden (H) at 53.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 53.9%
Low1X · 77.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:34+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.9%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.6% | 34.2% | 24.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 53.9% | 24.0% | 22.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 52.6% | 22.1% | 25.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
St Truiden
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Waregem
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-15 · St Truiden 3–2 Waregem
2025-08-23 · Waregem 0–2 St Truiden
2022-12-27 · St Truiden 2–0 Waregem
2022-09-17 · Waregem 0–3 St Truiden
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 2caff8dcbc6d2927662c44498308f3731778c3fcb99b5d8529bed3d9c9d5f44c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1