Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath prediction
A2026-09-19 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Stenhousemuir (H) at 48.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:14:27+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 48.8%
Low1X · 76.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:14:27+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 36%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.1% | 32.4% | 22.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 48.8% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 81.2% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-15
Data fingerprint: ec42b72deaa4d52636844b6092bf2275b1d962e01849ea0220dddf815e07eae3
Model: existing-source-policy-v1