Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs prediction

2026-10-17 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs match analysis

What is the Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Raith Rvs (A) at 42.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 42.7%

Low
1 28.9%X 28.4%2 42.7%
Double chance

12 · 71.6%

Low
1X 57.3%X2 71.1%12 71.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:11+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 42.7%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 28%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.2%35.4%25.4%
Market · margin removed28.9%28.4%42.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson57.3%27.9%14.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-13. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Stenhousemuir

WWWWL

Scored / game: 1.33
Conceded / game: 0.44
Clean sheets: 6 / 9

2026-10-10Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-09-25Ayr (A)1–0
2026-09-19Arbroath (H)1–0
2026-09-15Partick (H)1–0
2026-09-04Livingston (A)1–0

Raith Rvs

WDLWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-10Queens Park (H)2–0
2026-10-03Morton (A)2–1
2026-09-25Livingston (H)0–2
2026-09-19Partick (A)0–0
2026-09-12Arbroath (H)4–0

Head to head

2026-08-01 · Raith Rvs 1–1 Stenhousemuir

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:11+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-13
Data fingerprint: 11c61aaffc2487e928913a7719032794364f5c006c5ee2ba68a5d69606b98d65
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →