Stoke vs Preston prediction
P2026-10-31 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Stoke vs Preston prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Stoke (H) at 56.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 56.0%
Medium1X · 80.2%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:18+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.5% | 33.7% | 23.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 56.0% | 24.2% | 19.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.4% | 27.8% | 26.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-24. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Stoke
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Preston
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-20 · Preston 3–1 Stoke
2025-12-26 · Stoke 0–0 Preston
2025-04-05 · Preston 1–1 Stoke
2024-11-26 · Stoke 0–0 Preston
2024-03-09 · Preston 1–2 Stoke
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-24
Data fingerprint: 08f51102e3c8e1220ecb7c00730eb60ea691c95218c9a486ff4d8a14432d945f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1