Stranraer vs Edinburgh City prediction
EC2026-10-03 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Stranraer vs Edinburgh City prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Stranraer (H) at 48.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 48.0%
Low12 · 75.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:54+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 48.0% | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 43.4% | 24.9% | 31.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Stranraer
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Edinburgh City
Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-07 · Edinburgh City 4–1 Stranraer
2026-01-03 · Stranraer 1–1 Edinburgh City
2025-10-18 · Edinburgh City 1–3 Stranraer
2025-08-09 · Stranraer 1–2 Edinburgh City
2025-04-19 · Stranraer 2–0 Edinburgh City
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: bc5871f1be1f2618d75c88f7a523c35aea1e959c833072c6fb70a86041399ff2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1