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Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction

2026-10-18 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-18T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK match analysis

What is the Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sturm Graz (H) at 57.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 6–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 57.3%

Medium
1 57.3%X 23.9%2 18.8%
Double chance

1X · 81.2%

Medium
1X 81.2%X2 42.7%12 76.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings54.4%27.8%17.8%
Market · margin removed57.3%23.9%18.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson61.7%21.6%16.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sturm Graz

DLWLW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Austria Vienna (A)2–0
2026-09-20Salzburg (A)0–3
2026-09-13LASK (H)2–1
2026-08-30SK Rapid (A)1–3
2026-08-22A. Lustenau (H)1–1

Grazer AK

LDWDD

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Salzburg (H)0–0
2026-09-19Austria Vienna (H)2–2
2026-09-12Altach (A)2–1
2026-08-29Wolfsberger AC (H)0–0
2026-08-21Ried (A)0–1

Head to head

2025-12-07 · Sturm Graz 2–1 Grazer AK

2025-08-30 · Grazer AK 0–3 Sturm Graz

2025-03-09 · Grazer AK 1–2 Sturm Graz

2024-10-19 · Sturm Graz 5–2 Grazer AK

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 0f474107cf648d025b5df1a1bb13ce7a3605bd3e67570aba684e55fbe372049b
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →