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Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction

2026-10-25 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-25T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sturm Graz vs Ried match analysis

What is the Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sturm Graz (H) at 56.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 56.9%

Medium
1 56.9%X 22.9%2 20.2%
Double chance

1X · 79.8%

Medium
1X 79.8%X2 43.1%12 77.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:50+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 6%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings54.7%27.7%17.7%
Market · margin removed56.9%22.9%20.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson60.1%22.0%17.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sturm Graz

LWLWW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-18Grazer AK (H)6–1
2026-10-10Austria Vienna (A)2–0
2026-09-20Salzburg (A)0–3
2026-09-13LASK (H)2–1
2026-08-30SK Rapid (A)1–3

Ried

LDWWW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-17Austria Vienna (H)3–2
2026-10-10Tirol (A)2–1
2026-09-20Wolfsberger AC (H)4–1
2026-09-11Salzburg (H)1–1
2026-08-30Hartberg (A)2–3

Head to head

2026-02-08 · Sturm Graz 1–0 Ried

2025-08-16 · Ried 1–3 Sturm Graz

2022-10-30 · Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried

2022-08-06 · Ried 1–1 Sturm Graz

2022-03-06 · Ried 2–2 Sturm Graz

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:56:50+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 90276bca6cab155b8af3fb7cae71306fd90556ab374fdd2944a962572e02463d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →