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Sturm Graz vs Salzburg prediction

2026-11-08 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-11-08T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sturm Graz vs Salzburg match analysis

What is the Sturm Graz vs Salzburg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Salzburg (A) at 45.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:04+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–4

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 45.5%

Low
1 31.4%X 23.2%2 45.5%
Double chance

12 · 76.8%

Low
1X 54.5%X2 68.6%12 76.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:04+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 45.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.6%37.7%27.7%
Market · margin removed31.4%23.2%45.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson24.5%23.1%52.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sturm Graz

LWWDD

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-01Wolfsberger AC (A)1–1
2026-10-25Ried (H)2–2
2026-10-18Grazer AK (H)6–1
2026-10-10Austria Vienna (A)2–0
2026-09-20Salzburg (A)0–3

Salzburg

WDWWW

Scored / game: 2.80
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-11-01A. Lustenau (H)5–1
2026-10-25LASK (A)3–1
2026-10-18Altach (H)3–0
2026-10-10Grazer AK (A)0–0
2026-09-20Sturm Graz (H)3–0

Head to head

2026-09-20 · Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz

2026-05-03 · Salzburg 1–1 Sturm Graz

2026-03-20 · Sturm Graz 1–1 Salzburg

2025-11-09 · Sturm Graz 1–1 Salzburg

2025-09-20 · Salzburg 0–2 Sturm Graz

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:04+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 7f48d9afab827b8b9e2142cf77c0126bc73c221b30cc88c2aa360028c66e7f48
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →