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Sutton vs Aldershot prediction

2026-10-28 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-28T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sutton vs Aldershot match analysis

What is the Sutton vs Aldershot prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sutton (H) at 51.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 51.5%

Low
1 51.5%X 25.0%2 23.5%
Double chance

1X · 76.5%

Low
1X 76.5%X2 48.5%12 75.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:47+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 51.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings37.9%36.1%26.1%
Market · margin removed51.5%25.0%23.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.3%23.4%34.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-24. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sutton

DLDLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-24Harrogate (A)1–3
2026-10-09Boreham Wood (H)0–2
2026-10-03Kidderminster (A)1–1
2026-09-30Tamworth (A)0–2
2026-09-26Forest Green (H)3–3

Aldershot

WLLLL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-24Wealdstone (H)0–1
2026-10-10Altrincham (A)1–3
2026-10-03Carlisle (H)1–3
2026-09-29Hornchurch (A)1–2
2026-09-26Tamworth (H)5–1

Head to head

2026-04-03 · Aldershot 2–2 Sutton

2025-12-26 · Sutton 0–0 Aldershot

2025-04-18 · Aldershot 1–1 Sutton

2025-01-01 · Sutton 1–1 Aldershot

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-27T12:39:47+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-24
Data fingerprint: 1db4afd5030f832898719162f92a029db77002c78fb484e853b5d7c71403cf37
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →