Sutton vs Boreham Wood prediction
BW2026-10-09 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Sutton vs Boreham Wood prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Boreham Wood (A) at 56.4%. The double-chance call is X2 at 80.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:27+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 56.4%
MediumX2 · 80.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:27+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 56.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.3% | 32.3% | 45.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 19.8% | 23.7% | 56.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 28.7% | 25.0% | 46.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Sutton
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Boreham Wood
Scored / game: 2.60
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-25 · Boreham Wood 1–0 Sutton
2025-09-03 · Sutton 3–4 Boreham Wood
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 1740c05346eb6473c436f57a0ccf17bc3775ba9fb6b051131177edb441247fcd
Model: existing-source-policy-v1