Swansea vs Norwich prediction
N2026-10-10 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Swansea vs Norwich prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Swansea (H) at 40.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.2%
Low12 · 73.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:18+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.0% | 34.5% | 24.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.2% | 26.1% | 33.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.6% | 24.7% | 33.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Swansea
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Norwich
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-25 · Norwich 1–1 Swansea
2025-10-25 · Swansea 2–1 Norwich
2025-01-25 · Norwich 5–1 Swansea
2024-09-14 · Swansea 1–0 Norwich
2024-04-27 · Norwich 2–2 Swansea
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 73b4ee490ca26edcf5fa180549e1237c5f74743887f0fba6a76ec17a1470fddf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1