Swindon vs Crewe prediction
C2026-10-10 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Swindon vs Crewe prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Crewe (A) at 37.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 37.1%
Low12 · 73.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:25+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 33.6% | 38.2% | 28.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 36.7% | 26.3% | 37.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 44.9% | 25.0% | 30.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Swindon
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Crewe
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-21 · Swindon 1–2 Crewe
2025-08-30 · Crewe 0–3 Swindon
2025-01-11 · Swindon 0–0 Crewe
2024-08-24 · Crewe 0–0 Swindon
2024-01-13 · Crewe 2–1 Swindon
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: ff481ab1b60b57ba444d5cd87ddf0f768de47d874c188cab8d2323b80a8e437d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1