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Swindon vs Grimsby prediction

2026-11-14 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Swindon vs Grimsby match analysis

What is the Swindon vs Grimsby prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Grimsby (A) at 46.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 46.8%

Low
1 28.2%X 25.0%2 46.8%
Double chance

12 · 75.0%

Low
1X 53.2%X2 71.8%12 75.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings32.7%38.7%28.7%
Market · margin removed28.2%25.0%46.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson46.3%23.9%29.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Swindon

LDWDW

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Rotherham (H)2–1
2026-10-24Bristol Rvs (A)0–0
2026-10-20Barnet (A)3–1
2026-10-17Walsall (H)1–1
2026-10-10Crewe (H)0–1

Grimsby

LLDWW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31York (H)5–2
2026-10-24Gillingham (A)4–1
2026-10-20Rochdale (A)2–2
2026-10-17Northampton (H)0–2
2026-10-10Port Vale (A)0–1

Head to head

2026-04-25 · Grimsby 4–0 Swindon

2025-11-22 · Swindon 2–2 Grimsby

2025-04-18 · Grimsby 0–4 Swindon

2024-12-21 · Swindon 3–1 Grimsby

2024-04-20 · Grimsby 2–0 Swindon

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: ddbfd90b365bb144d3deb971a83261c3a6a04a643b72f1201246e328f1d15440
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →