Swindon vs Walsall prediction
W
2026-10-17 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Swindon vs Walsall prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Walsall (A) at 38.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 38.9%
Low12 · 74.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 34.2% | 37.9% | 27.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.4% | 25.7% | 38.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 43.0% | 24.7% | 32.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Swindon
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Walsall
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-06 · Swindon 2–1 Walsall
2025-08-02 · Walsall 2–1 Swindon
2025-03-01 · Walsall 0–1 Swindon
2024-08-17 · Swindon 0–4 Walsall
2024-04-16 · Walsall 2–1 Swindon
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 11b19ca8ac19b9178cd8e96330c42442373b60ddea9459999c77ac54d20345b2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1