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Tamworth vs Sutton prediction

2026-09-30 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-30T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Tamworth vs Sutton match analysis

What is the Tamworth vs Sutton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Tamworth (H) at 41.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 41.1%

Low
1 41.1%X 25.6%2 33.4%
Double chance

12 · 74.4%

Low
1X 66.6%X2 58.9%12 74.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.3%36.8%26.8%
Market · margin removed41.1%25.6%33.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.7%23.5%30.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Tamworth

DLLWL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.80
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-26Aldershot (A)1–5
2026-09-19Wealdstone (H)2–1
2026-09-15Southend (A)1–3
2026-09-12Harrogate (A)1–3
2026-09-05Boston Utd (H)2–2

Sutton

LLWDD

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-26Forest Green (H)3–3
2026-09-19Halifax (A)1–1
2026-09-15Eastleigh (H)2–1
2026-09-12Scunthorpe (H)0–2
2026-09-05Barrow (A)0–3

Head to head

2026-01-24 · Tamworth 0–1 Sutton

2025-09-13 · Sutton 2–3 Tamworth

2024-12-21 · Sutton 1–2 Tamworth

2024-08-10 · Tamworth 1–1 Sutton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-26
Data fingerprint: c7a6d205c7c2970e1808c05457c94d7ff0e79e100b07c2ce6a6d65ada9bcdab4
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →