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Thun vs Basel prediction

2026-11-08 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-11-08T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Thun vs Basel match analysis

What is the Thun vs Basel prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Thun (H) at 46.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:40+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 46.2%

Low
1 46.2%X 22.8%2 31.0%
Double chance

12 · 77.2%

Low
1X 69.0%X2 53.8%12 77.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:40+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 46.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings35.8%37.1%27.1%
Market · margin removed46.2%22.8%31.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.4%23.1%47.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Thun

LWLLW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 2.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-01Lausanne (A)5–4
2026-10-25Lugano (H)2–3
2026-10-10Zurich (A)2–4
2026-09-20Vaduz (A)2–1
2026-09-16Servette (H)2–4

Basel

WLLDL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-01Lugano (A)1–2
2026-10-25Grasshoppers (H)0–0
2026-10-11Vaduz (A)0–3
2026-09-20St. Gallen (H)1–3
2026-09-13Luzern (A)4–2

Head to head

2026-08-09 · Basel 4–2 Thun

2026-05-02 · Basel 3–1 Thun

2026-04-18 · Thun 3–1 Basel

2026-02-01 · Basel 1–2 Thun

2025-09-13 · Thun 1–3 Basel

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:40+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: d278d0d2ef98223ad1deb29792e322defc6314a7f0edffb38ef983f9a729b815
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →