Tirol vs Grazer AK prediction
GA2026-10-24 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-24T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Tirol vs Grazer AK prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Tirol (H) at 38.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.9%
Low12 · 73.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:50+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 35.0% | 37.5% | 27.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.9% | 26.1% | 35.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 44.4% | 24.6% | 31.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Tirol
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Grazer AK
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-02 · Grazer AK 4–0 Tirol
2026-03-21 · Tirol 1–5 Grazer AK
2026-03-08 · Tirol 2–0 Grazer AK
2025-08-16 · Grazer AK 1–1 Tirol
2025-05-23 · Tirol 1–1 Grazer AK
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 90276bca6cab155b8af3fb7cae71306fd90556ab374fdd2944a962572e02463d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1