Torino vs Monza prediction
M2026-10-23 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-23T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Torino vs Monza prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Torino (H) at 45.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 45.6%
Low12 · 72.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.8% | 30.1% | 20.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 45.6% | 27.2% | 27.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 47.5% | 27.3% | 25.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Torino
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Monza
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-03-02 · Monza 0–2 Torino
2024-11-24 · Torino 1–1 Monza
2024-03-30 · Torino 1–0 Monza
2023-11-11 · Monza 1–1 Torino
2023-05-07 · Torino 1–1 Monza
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1