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Toulouse vs Troyes prediction

2026-10-25 · F1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T16:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Toulouse vs Troyes match analysis

What is the Toulouse vs Troyes prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Toulouse (H) at 59.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.6%

Medium
1 59.6%X 22.6%2 17.8%
Double chance

1X · 82.2%

Medium
1X 82.2%X2 40.4%12 77.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:54+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings51.5%29.3%19.3%
Market · margin removed59.6%22.6%17.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson64.9%19.2%15.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Toulouse

LDWDW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-16Le Mans (A)3–0
2026-10-10Monaco (A)2–2
2026-09-19Le Havre (H)3–2
2026-09-12Lorient (A)2–2
2026-09-03Lille (H)0–1

Troyes

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-17Lens (H)1–3
2026-10-11Marseille (H)0–2
2026-09-19Angers (A)0–2
2026-09-13Lille (A)0–2
2026-09-06Strasbourg (H)2–6

Head to head

2023-02-01 · Toulouse 4–1 Troyes

2022-08-14 · Troyes 0–3 Toulouse

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:54+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 50bb7fb51270a38e2618d0fe1fbe269a97d57977cabc6063b740a35513d1c2a9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →